SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
46.02% ( -0.26) | 23.68% ( 0.11) | 30.3% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.46) | 41.32% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.47) | 63.71% ( 0.47) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( -0.28) | 18.2% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( -0.49) | 49.21% ( 0.48) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.14) | 26.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( -0.19) | 61.21% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.03% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.3% |
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