Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-3 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 2-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
12.11% ( -0.17) | 16.7% ( -0.18) | 71.19% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.06% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.74% ( 0.43) | 34.26% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.84% ( 0.48) | 56.16% ( -0.49) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% ( 0.02) | 39.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.51% ( 0.02) | 76.49% ( -0.02) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.49% ( 0.18) | 8.51% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.53% ( 0.45) | 29.47% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 12.11% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.7% | 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 5.21% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.57% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 71.18% |
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