SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
57.94% ( -0.44) | 22.56% ( 0.15) | 19.5% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.23) | 46.56% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( -0.22) | 68.84% ( 0.21) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( -0.23) | 15.78% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( -0.42) | 44.92% ( 0.42) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( 0.18) | 37.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( 0.17) | 74.69% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.92% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.5% |
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