SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
38.07% ( 0.21) | 25.89% ( -0.01) | 36.03% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( 0.03) | 49.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0.03) | 71.71% ( -0.03) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.13) | 25.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( 0.18) | 60.39% ( -0.18) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.1) | 26.68% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.14) | 61.93% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.03% |
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