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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
ML

St Mirren
0 - 0
Motherwell


Baccus (73')
FT

Spittal (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Motherwell

St Mirren have already claimed two competitive victories over Motherwell this season, and after they restored some belief with a win over St Johnstone last weekend, we think that the hosts will claim a narrow victory against a Motherwell side that is low on confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
49.74% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 24.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.026 0.03)76.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (0.034999999999997 0.03)55.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 49.73%
    Motherwell 24.2%
    Draw 26.05%
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 24.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Mirren
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-0 St Mirren
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 4-0 St Mirren
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-0 Motherwell
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-3 Dundee
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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