SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Greuther Furth |
55.4% ( -0.7) | 22.67% ( 0.24) | 21.93% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( -0.52) | 43.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0.51) | 66.24% ( 0.5) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.41) | 15.7% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( -0.77) | 44.77% ( 0.77) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( 0.14) | 33.94% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( 0.15) | 70.62% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.93% |
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