SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
48.68% ( 0.17) | 23.33% ( -0.04) | 27.99% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( 0.09) | 41.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( 0.09) | 63.5% ( -0.09) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( 0.1) | 17.1% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% ( 0.17) | 47.29% ( -0.17) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( -0.05) | 27.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.06) | 63.11% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.99% |
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