SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg |
45.03% ( -0.24) | 23.36% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.2) | 39.16% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.21) | 61.48% ( -0.21) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0.02) | 17.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.03) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.26) | 24.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.36) | 58.63% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.87% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.61% |
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