SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Wolfsburg |
39.99% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0.01) | 36.23% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.21% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.03) | 39.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( -0.03) | 62.22% ( 0.03) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( -0) | 20.2% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% | 52.51% ( 0) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.03) | 22.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( -0.05) | 55.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.23% |
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