SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lech Poznan |
27.28% ( 0.02) | 25.3% ( 0.02) | 47.42% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( -0.05) | 50.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.05) | 72.21% ( 0.05) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( -0.01) | 32.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( -0.01) | 69.43% ( 0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( -0.04) | 21.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( -0.06) | 54.1% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.28% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.41% |
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