SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
31.13% ( 0.25) | 26.1% ( 0.09) | 42.77% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.29) | 51.66% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.25) | 73.44% ( 0.26) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.03) | 30.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% ( 0.03) | 67.02% ( -0.03) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0.3) | 23.97% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( -0.43) | 58.21% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.77% |
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