SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 46%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
46% ( -0) | 24.41% ( -0.02) | 29.58% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.11) | 45.07% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.1) | 67.42% ( -0.1) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.04) | 19.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( 0.07) | 51.72% ( -0.07) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( 0.07) | 28.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( 0.09) | 64.27% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.58% |
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