SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
43.58% ( 0.04) | 25.68% ( -0.01) | 30.74% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.03) | 50.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.03) | 72.01% ( -0.03) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.03) | 22.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( 0.05) | 56.61% ( -0.05) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.01) | 30.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -0.01) | 66.37% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.74% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
