Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Metz
42.91% ( 0.15)	25.6% ( 0.02)	31.49% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0.15)

49.4% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.14)

71.44% (

0.14)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

0.01)

22.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

0.01)

56.68% (

-0)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-0.19)

29.38% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

-0.23)

65.36% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 42.91%

Metz 31.49%

Draw 25.59%

Strasbourg	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.49%