SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
68.97% ( -0.69) | 16.04% ( 0.31) | 14.99% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 67.13% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.72) | 23.41% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.97) | 42.81% ( 0.96) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.72% ( -0.29) | 6.28% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.33% ( -0.81) | 23.67% ( 0.81) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.08) | 28.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.1) | 64.1% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 5% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.77% Total : 68.97% | 1-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.04% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.5% Total : 14.99% |
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