SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Bristol City |
48.14% ( 0.11) | 25.37% ( -0.02) | 26.48% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.03) | 51.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( 0.03) | 72.95% ( -0.03) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.06) | 21.24% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( 0.09) | 54.15% ( -0.09) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.05) | 33.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( -0.05) | 70.62% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.48% |
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