SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
47.78% ( -0.01) | 25.77% ( -0.01) | 26.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( 0.07) | 52.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( 0.06) | 74.32% ( -0.06) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( 0.02) | 22.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( 0.04) | 55.39% ( -0.04) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( 0.05) | 34.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.45% ( 0.06) | 71.54% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.45% |
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