Fresh and raring to fight following the two-week international break, Millwall should have the energy to produce another positive result against a promotion contender at The Den. Plagued by suspensions and injuries, we are expecting the Black Cats to struggle in the capital, leading to the end of their eight-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Sunderland
32.92% ( 0.45)	29.43% ( 0.6)	37.64% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 43.48% (

-1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.58% (

-1.92)

63.42% (

1.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.23% (

-1.4)

82.77% (

1.4)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

-0.71)

35.62% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

-0.74)

72.39% (

0.73)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-1.63)

32.46% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02% (

-1.87)

68.98% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Millwall 32.92%

Sunderland 37.64%

Draw 29.42%

Millwall	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.05% Total : 32.92%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.42%	0-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.64%