SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Costa Rica |
71.18% ( 0.37) | 18.2% ( -0.29) | 10.61% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.42% ( 1.01) | 45.58% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( 0.95) | 67.9% ( -0.95) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.5% ( 0.39) | 11.5% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.62% ( 0.83) | 36.37% ( -0.83) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.48) | 49.91% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.41% ( 0.33) | 84.59% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Suriname | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.3% Total : 71.18% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 10.61% |
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