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League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
HT

Sutton
1 - 2
Harrogate

Jackson (87')
Kizzi (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muldoon (58', 75')
Dooley (33'), Burrell (52'), Sutton (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Harrogate Town

Sutton will be desperate to end their wait for a win in Tuesday's fixture against Harrogate, but we think that they will have to settle for a fourth consecutive draw, with their opponents currently enjoying a three-game unbeaten away run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
43.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)57.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.02000000000001 0.02)30.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.43% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 43.23%
    Harrogate Town 30.97%
    Draw 25.8%
Sutton UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Sutton
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two


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