Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 0-1 (6.75%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.