SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
53.86% ( -0.48) | 25.15% ( 0.34) | 20.98% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( -1.1) | 55.01% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.91) | 76.28% ( 0.91) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.62) | 20.42% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( -1) | 52.86% ( 0.99) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.48) | 41.19% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.27% ( -0.43) | 77.73% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.98% |
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