Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
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