Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.