Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
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