SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
36.55% ( 0.38) | 24.65% ( 0.02) | 38.79% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 59% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.09) | 44.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( -0.08) | 66.42% ( 0.08) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( 0.16) | 23.77% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( 0.24) | 57.92% ( -0.24) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0.24) | 22.6% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( -0.37) | 56.21% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.79% |
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