Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
