Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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