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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
69.94% ( -1.28) | 15.63% ( 0.45) | 14.42% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 67.32% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.36) | 22.61% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.49) | 41.73% ( 0.49) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.07% ( -0.29) | 5.93% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 77.32% ( -0.84) | 22.67% ( 0.84) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.72) | 28.43% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.8% ( 0.89) | 64.19% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 2% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.2% Total : 69.94% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.54% Total : 15.63% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.4% Total : 14.42% |
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