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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
48.47% ( -0.75) | 23.21% ( 0.19) | 28.32% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( -0.48) | 40.33% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( -0.49) | 62.7% ( 0.49) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( -0.46) | 16.88% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.1% ( -0.82) | 46.9% ( 0.82) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.15) | 26.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( 0.19) | 62.29% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.17% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.32% |
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