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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
24.83% ( -0.72) | 22.67% ( -0.12) | 52.49% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.28% ( -0.14) | 40.72% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.89% ( -0.15) | 63.11% ( 0.15) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0.64) | 29.73% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% ( -0.78) | 65.79% ( 0.78) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( 0.24) | 15.58% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( 0.44) | 44.55% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 8% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.7% Total : 52.49% |
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