Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.