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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
64.99% ( -0.16) | 17.57% ( 0.09) | 17.44% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 66.71% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.81% ( -0.33) | 26.19% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.42) | 46.46% ( 0.43) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.27% ( -0.12) | 7.73% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.48% ( -0.31) | 27.52% ( 0.31) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( -0.15) | 27.69% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( -0.19) | 63.25% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.99% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.57% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 17.44% |
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