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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
47.93% ( -0.28) | 23.92% ( 0.12) | 28.15% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.45) | 43.74% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( -0.44) | 66.13% ( 0.45) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.28) | 18.39% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.47% ( -0.49) | 49.53% ( 0.49) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.12) | 28.82% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% ( -0.15) | 64.68% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.15% |
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