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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
26.81% ( 1.05) | 23.53% ( 0.39) | 49.66% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.32% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.94) | 42.94% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( -0.94) | 65.34% ( 0.94) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.3) | 29.38% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( 0.36) | 65.37% ( -0.36) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.88) | 17.42% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( -1.57) | 47.86% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.81% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.66% |
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