SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
29.95% ( 0.24) | 24.88% ( 0.16) | 45.17% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.59) | 46.96% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.55) | 69.21% ( 0.55) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -0.13) | 29.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( -0.16) | 65.14% ( 0.16) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.42) | 20.84% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( -0.66) | 53.53% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.17% |
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