SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
44.41% ( 0.29) | 27.67% ( -0.16) | 27.91% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% ( 0.48) | 58.9% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( 0.37) | 79.39% ( -0.37) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.37) | 26.4% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.49) | 61.55% ( -0.49) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( 0.15) | 36.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( 0.15) | 73.77% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.91% |
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