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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Talleres

Estigarribia (6')
Carrera (21'), Romero (43'), Tesuri (62'), Pereyra (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ezequiel Gomez (32'), Mantilla (56'), Villagra (58')
Gandolfi (22')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Talleres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Tucuman
Monday, October 16 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Arsenal
Friday, October 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawTalleres
37.8% (0.577 0.58) 29.27% (0.531 0.53) 32.94% (-1.105 -1.11)
Both teams to score 43.93% (-1.607 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.12% (-1.892 -1.89)62.87% (1.894 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.62% (-1.395 -1.4)82.38% (1.397 1.4)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)32.08% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (-0.694 -0.69)68.55% (0.69500000000001 0.7)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-1.774 -1.77)35.32% (1.775 1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-1.893 -1.89)72.08% (1.895 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 37.79%
    Talleres 32.93%
    Draw 29.26%
Atletico TucumanDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.68 0.68)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.33% (0.78 0.78)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 32.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Tucuman
Monday, October 16 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, October 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, October 3 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, September 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Tucuman
Friday, September 22 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, September 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Arsenal
Friday, October 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Talleres
Sunday, October 8 at 8.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Belgrano
Sunday, October 1 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 4-0 Barracas Central
Tuesday, September 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-1 Talleres
Thursday, September 21 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Instituto
Sunday, September 17 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division


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