Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
