SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Buxton |
56.69% ( 0.04) | 23.58% ( -0.02) | 19.72% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 0.08) | 50.46% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 0.08) | 72.39% ( -0.08) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( 0.04) | 17.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( 0.08) | 48.17% ( -0.08) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.04) | 39.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( 0.04) | 76.58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 19.72% |
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