SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Southport had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Southport |
57.05% ( -0.01) | 22.49% ( 0) | 20.46% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0) | 44.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0) | 67.28% |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( -0) | 15.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( -0.01) | 44.43% ( 0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.03% ( 0.01) | 35.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.25% ( 0.01) | 72.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.49% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.46% |
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