SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Ethiopia |
35.82% ( 1.65) | 30.66% ( -0.26) | 33.51% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 40.4% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.87% ( 0.72) | 67.13% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.64% ( 0.48) | 85.35% ( -0.49) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( 1.54) | 35.63% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( 1.56) | 72.39% ( -1.57) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.58) | 37.23% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% ( -0.58) | 74.02% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.65% | 0-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 33.51% |
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