SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong AZ |
46.98% ( 0.49) | 22.49% ( -0.14) | 30.53% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 64.91% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.53% ( 0.51) | 35.47% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.49% ( 0.56) | 57.51% ( -0.56) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( 0.37) | 15.59% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( 0.69) | 44.56% ( -0.69) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( 0.04) | 23.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( 0.06) | 56.96% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.53% |
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