SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong AZ |
50.53% ( -0.13) | 23.07% ( 0.02) | 26.4% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% ( 0.02) | 41.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 0.02) | 63.54% ( -0.02) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% ( -0.04) | 16.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.9% ( -0.07) | 46.1% ( 0.07) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.09) | 28.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 0.11) | 64.59% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 26.4% |
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