Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Palermo
31.78% ( -0.41)	27.89% ( 0.11)	40.34% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.67% (

-0.49)

58.33% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06% (

-0.39)

78.95% (

0.39)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

-0.54)

33.74% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

-0.6)

70.4% (

0.6)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

-0.07)

28.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96% (

-0.08)

64.05% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Ternana 31.78%

Palermo 40.34%

Draw 27.88%

Ternana	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.78%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.34%