Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for The Strongest in this match.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
