SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.83%).
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
51.22% ( -0.18) | 27.37% ( 0.13) | 21.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.6% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.37) | 62.11% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.19% ( -0.27) | 81.81% ( 0.28) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.25) | 24.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( -0.35) | 59.02% ( 0.36) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.16) | 44.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% ( -0.13) | 80.83% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.46% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.41% |
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