SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Instituto |
40.84% ( -0.95) | 28.23% ( 0.21) | 30.93% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.23% ( -0.52) | 59.76% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% ( -0.4) | 80.06% ( 0.4) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.78) | 28.73% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -0.98) | 64.56% ( 0.98) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( 0.27) | 35.11% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( 0.28) | 71.86% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.65% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.92% |
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