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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
1 - 0
Necaxa

Gignac (19' pen.)
Ibanez (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roque (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Tigres
Monday, May 13 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
Monday, May 6 at 3.06am in Liga MX

We said: Tigres 2-1 Necaxa

The last four meetings between Tigres and Necaxa have produced a combined 13 goals and we anticipate another thrilling contest at the Estadio Universitario. Tigres' home advantage gives them a slight edge and we are tipping them to extend their winning streak against the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawNecaxa
66.77% (0.845 0.84) 18.95% (-0.388 -0.39) 14.29% (-0.456 -0.46)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (0.806 0.81)39.71% (-0.806 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (0.83300000000001 0.83)62.07% (-0.832 -0.83)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.98% (0.456 0.46)11.02% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.69% (0.992 0.99)35.31% (-0.991 -0.99)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (-0.122 -0.12)40.14% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (-0.114 -0.11)76.78% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 66.76%
    Necaxa 14.29%
    Draw 18.95%
TigresDrawNecaxa
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 7.91% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.36% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 66.76%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.95%
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 14.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Tigres
Monday, May 13 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Monterrey
Friday, May 10 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Tijuana
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 5-2 Necaxa
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-3 Tigres
Sunday, April 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Columbus Crew (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
Monday, May 6 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-1 Queretaro (3-2 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 5-2 Necaxa
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, April 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa
Saturday, April 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX


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