Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
-0.2) 
0.17) 
